Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.152110 0.176015 0.202417 0.233737 0.269881 0.310288 0.358899
2025-11-02 0.111786 0.143089 0.181230 0.231114 0.294658 0.372940 0.476797
2025-11-09 0.088005 0.120829 0.163642 0.223562 0.305302 0.413006 0.565921
2025-11-16 0.076068 0.110592 0.158196 0.228608 0.330179 0.471553 0.683672
2025-11-23 0.066154 0.101075 0.151604 0.230014 0.348730 0.522001 0.794723
2025-11-30 0.058992 0.094227 0.147456 0.233674 0.369985 0.577550 0.918521
2025-12-07 0.051335 0.085400 0.138931 0.229110 0.377439 0.612233 1.013308
2025-12-14 0.045401 0.078429 0.132263 0.226309 0.386773 0.650053 1.116360
2025-12-21 0.041445 0.074163 0.129345 0.229077 0.405170 0.703936 1.251286
2025-12-28 0.039324 0.072743 0.130944 0.239551 0.437591 0.784343 1.440117
2026-01-04 0.036812 0.070276 0.130364 0.245950 0.463262 0.855308 1.619454
2026-01-11 0.034426 0.067730 0.129295 0.251207 0.487196 0.925250 1.803992
2026-01-18 0.031792 0.064457 0.126623 0.253344 0.505892 0.988221 1.983977
2026-01-25 0.028841 0.060216 0.121646 0.250456 0.514569 1.033182 2.134262
2026-02-01 0.025680 0.055155 0.114468 0.242276 0.511614 1.054827 2.239706
2026-02-08 0.024252 0.053523 0.113993 0.247742 0.537105 1.135859 2.476126
2026-02-15 0.022593 0.051191 0.111790 0.249264 0.554349 1.201492 2.686826
2026-02-22 0.021307 0.049520 0.110790 0.253230 0.577195 1.281052 2.936114
2026-03-01 0.019428 0.046287 0.106034 0.248286 0.579674 1.316682 3.091073
2026-03-08 0.017883 0.043647 0.102307 0.245251 0.586097 1.361544 3.271765
2026-03-15 0.016903 0.042234 0.101225 0.248250 0.606838 1.440809 3.541387
2026-03-22 0.016539 0.042275 0.103538 0.259597 0.648649 1.572988 3.951910
2026-03-29 0.015911 0.041586 0.104028 0.266529 0.680426 1.684551 4.323916